Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tupynambas vs North Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tupynambas play North Esporte Clube in the Mineiro 2 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tupynambas averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. North Esporte Clube averaged 1.35 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Tupynambas won 1, North Esporte Clube won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 11, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Tupynambas and 1.11 for North Esporte Clube. This points to a North Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tupynambas
25%
Draws
41%
North Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: North Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupynambas picked up more points recently compared to North Esporte Clube.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Tupynambas Clean Sheet 21%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupynambas North Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2023 Mineiro 2
Tupynambas vs North Esporte Clube
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupynambas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

North Esporte Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupynambas 35 / 100
North Esporte Clube 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupynambas North Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: North Esporte Clube or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tupynambas attacking → ← attacking North Esporte Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupynambas scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

North Esporte Clube let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Tupynambas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Esporte Clube lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1URT1171314:922
2Betim FC1170418:1221
3Itabirito1163217:921
4Boa1161415:1219
5Aymores1152410:917
6Uberlandia1145215:1017
7Varginha1150612:1915
8North Esporte Clube1143412:1215
9Nacional de Muriae1134414:1213
10Tupi-MG1132611:1311
11Uniao Luziense111469:217
12Tupynambas111379:186