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Turan vs Aktobe 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Turlybek M.
Assist: Kenesov A.
24' Event
Sultanov K.
Assist: Valiullin R.
77' Event
Murzagaliyev T.
Assist: Kenesov A.

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Turan
15%
Draws
21%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Turan have won more games recently than Aktobe 2.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turan have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Turan Clean Sheet 20%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Aktobe 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.14 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Turan
1:3
Jun 18, 2026 First League
Turan vs Aktobe 2
4:0
Aug 4, 2023 First League
Turan vs Aktobe 2
7:1
Apr 27, 2023 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Turan
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Turlybek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sultanov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Aktobe 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 85 / 100
Aktobe 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Turan scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Turan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Aktobe 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
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Aktobe 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4
Tobol 2
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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