Sport Picks

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Turan vs Aktobe 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Turlybek M.
Assist: Kenesov A.
24' Event
Sultanov K.
Assist: Valiullin R.
77' Event
Murzagaliyev T.
Assist: Kenesov A.

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Turan
20%
Draws
6%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Turan have won more games recently than Aktobe 2.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turan have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Turan Clean Sheet 20%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Aktobe 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 First League
Turan vs Aktobe 2
4:0
Aug 4, 2023 First League
Turan vs Aktobe 2
7:1
Apr 27, 2023 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Turan
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Turlybek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sultanov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Aktobe 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 85 / 100
Aktobe 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.33 goals per match.

Turan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Turan scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Aktobe 2
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
07 Aug
Turan
5 : 1
FC Astana 2
30 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Turan
24 Jul
Turan
2 : 1
Tobol 2
16 Jul
Arys
0 : 4
Turan
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Aktobe 2

(Away)
13 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 6
Shakhter Karagandy
06 Aug
Aktobe 2
0 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
30 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 1
Aktobe 2
24 Jul
Aktobe 2
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
16 Jul
Taraz
1 : 1
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 18 16 1 1 51:7 49
2 Kairat Almaty 2 18 13 4 1 56:10 43
3 Turan 18 12 2 4 37:13 38
4 Akademiya Ontustik 18 9 3 6 28:23 30
5 FC Astana 2 18 8 2 8 29:33 26
6 Jaiyq 18 8 2 8 18:23 26
7 FC Ekibastuz 18 7 5 6 24:31 26
8 Taraz 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 18 7 3 8 27:31 24
10 Khan Tengri 18 5 3 10 19:32 18
11 Aktobe 2 18 4 5 9 29:58 17
12 Arys 18 4 2 12 19:38 14
13 Yelimay Semey 2 18 3 3 12 14:32 12
14 Tobol 2 18 2 4 12 28:48 10
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