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Turan vs Kaspij Aktau 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kenesov A.
Assist: Gerasimov M.
37' Event
Turlybek A.
90' Event
Makhan O.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Turan and Kaspij Aktau 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Turan
15%
Draws
17%
Kaspij Aktau 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turan come out ahead of Kaspij Aktau 2 on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Turan taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Turan Clean Sheet 18%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Kaspij Aktau 2
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.14 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Turan
0:3
Jun 12, 2026 First League
Turan vs Kaspij Aktau 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenesov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turlybek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 85 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Kaspij Aktau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kaspij Aktau 2 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Turan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Kaspij Aktau 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 6

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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