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Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turan host Shakhter Karagandy in the First League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Turan have averaged 2.41 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Shakhter Karagandy's 2.66 scored and 0.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Turan slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.94) point toward Shakhter Karagandy. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Turan
15%
Draws
44%
Shakhter Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Turan haven't matched Shakhter Karagandy's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Turan a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Turan Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Shakhter Karagandy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 24
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.41 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League
Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
0:2
Oct 9, 2022 Premier League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Turan
0:0
Aug 5, 2022 Kazakhstan Cup
Turan vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 40 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Shakhter Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Turan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shakhter Karagandy let in goals in 24% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Shakhter Karagandy
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
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Shakhter Karagandy

(Away)
08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0
Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
9 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
10 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
11 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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