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Turan vs Zira FK Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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Match Events

11'
Ruan Renato
56'
Marandici D.
62'
Sub
Guseynov A. In: Papunashvili G.
Out: Guseynov A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Turan and Zira FK finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Turan
30%
Draws
33%
Zira FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Zira FK haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Zira FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Zira FK
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Zira FK
1:1
Apr 21, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Zira FK vs Turan
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Turan vs Zira FK
0:2
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Zira FK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Damjanovic F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Zira FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 59 / 100
Zira FK 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Zira FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Turan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zira FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Zira FK
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
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Zira FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Sabah Baku 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
7 Kapaz 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 6 0 2 4 5:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)