Sport Picks

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Turbina Cerrik vs Burreli

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Dezhgiu G.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Turbina Cerrik and Burreli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turbina Cerrik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Turbina Cerrik
30%
Draws
47%
Burreli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burreli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Turbina Cerrik have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Burreli are scoring more at 1.
  • Win probability leans Burreli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 26%
Burreli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turbina Cerrik Burreli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Turbina Cerrik
4:1
Dec 21, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Burreli
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Turbina Cerrik
3:0
Oct 30, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Burreli
1:2
Mar 31, 2010 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Turbina Cerrik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Dezhgiu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Burreli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turbina Cerrik 10 / 100
Burreli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turbina Cerrik Burreli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burreli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turbina Cerrik scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Burreli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Turbina Cerrik stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burreli
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Turbina Cerrik

(Home)
16 Oct
AF Elbasani
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
06 Dec
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
18 Oct
Turbina Cerrik
4 : 0
Koplik
18 May
Turbina Cerrik
1 : 2
Tomori Berat
07 May
Burreli
4 : 1
Turbina Cerrik
Page 1 of 6

Burreli

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)