Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turbina Cerrik vs Erzeni Shijak

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Buxhelaj X.
85' Event
Doksani E.
90' Event
Patrick Nonato

AI Match Summary

Erzeni Shijak in this Albanian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Turbina Cerrik
39%
Draws
31%
Erzeni Shijak
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turbina Cerrik lately — more wins on the board than Erzeni Shijak.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Turbina Cerrik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Erzeni Shijak, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erzeni Shijak have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 20%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turbina Cerrik Erzeni Shijak
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
Erzeni Shijak vs Turbina Cerrik
4:0
Sep 26, 2022 Albanian Cup
Turbina Cerrik vs Erzeni Shijak
1:2
Feb 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Erzeni Shijak
0:2
Oct 2, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Turbina Cerrik
3:1
Mar 1, 2008 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Erzeni Shijak
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Buxhelaj X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Top Goalscorer Doksani E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patrick Nonato
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turbina Cerrik 31 / 100
Erzeni Shijak 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turbina Cerrik Erzeni Shijak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzeni Shijak let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Erzeni Shijak lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Turbina Cerrik's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erzeni Shijak
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turbina Cerrik

(Home)
16 Oct
AF Elbasani
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
06 Dec
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
18 Oct
Turbina Cerrik
4 : 0
Koplik
18 May
Turbina Cerrik
1 : 2
Tomori Berat
07 May
Burreli
4 : 1
Turbina Cerrik
Page 1 of 6

Erzeni Shijak

(Away)
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
30 Mar
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pogradeci-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis-
Flamurtari-
TBD-
TBD-
Vllaznia-
Besa Kavaje-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi-
KF Oriku-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizani-
Maliqi-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca-
Shkumbini Peqin-
TBD-
TBD-
KF Egnatia-
Burreli-
TBD-
TBD-
Tomori Berat-
KS Devolli5
Librazhd1
TBD-
Laci-
Butrinti Sarande-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana-
Vora-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastrioti-
Lushnja-
TBD-
TBD-
Terbuni Puka-
Koplik3
Murlani0
TBD-
KF Tirana-
Turbina Cerrik-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak-
Luzi-
TBD-
TBD-
Teuta-
Beselidhja Lezha-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier-
Laberia FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kukesi-
1/16-finals
Pogradeci1
Bylis10
Flamurtari2
Vllaznia4
Besa Kavaje1
Korabi Peshkopi4
KF Oriku0
Partizani2
Maliqi1
Skenderbeu Korca8
Shkumbini Peqin0
KF Egnatia6
Burreli2
Tomori Berat5
KS Devolli0
Laci7
Butrinti Sarande0
Dinamo Tirana4
Vora0
Kastrioti1
Lushnja4
Terbuni Puka3
Koplik2
KF Tirana5
Turbina Cerrik1
Erzeni Shijak6
Luzi0
Teuta2
Beselidhja Lezha1
Apolonia Fier2
Laberia FC0
Kukesi5
1/8-finals
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Korabi Peshkopi1
Partizani6
Skenderbeu Korca1
KF Egnatia2
Tomori Berat2
Laci5
Dinamo Tirana1
Kastrioti3
Lushnja0
KF Tirana4
Erzeni Shijak1
Teuta2
Apolonia Fier0
Kukesi5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia3
Partizani2
KF Egnatia3
Laci0
Kastrioti3
KF Tirana6
Teuta3
Kukesi2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia2
KF Tirana3
Teuta0
Final
KF Egnatia1
KF Tirana0