Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025

Turgutlu

1 - 1

Denizlispor

Our Tip

Match Events

Bilgi U.

44'

Ulaman M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Turgutlu

30%

Draws

34%

Denizlispor

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Denizlispor average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Turgutlu's 1.
36% — that's where the model lands on Turgutlu taking it.
Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Turgutlu Clean Sheet 14%

Denizlispor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turgutlu	Denizlispor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	4
Draws	7	12
Losses	19	14
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 4

Turgutlu vs Denizlispor

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Nov 17, 2024 3. Lig Group 4

Denizlispor vs Turgutlu

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

0:4

Nov 24, 2020 Turkish Cup

Denizlispor vs Turgutlu

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Dec 14, 1997 1. Lig

Turgutlu vs Denizlispor

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

2:3

Sep 28, 1997 1. Lig

Denizlispor vs Turgutlu

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilgi U.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Denizlispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulaman M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 35 / 100

Denizlispor 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turgutlu Denizlispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denizlispor let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Turgutlu found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Turgutlu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turgutlu VS Denizlispor

1 Goals Scored 1.5

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mardin 1969	30	20	7	3	64:24	67
2	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	21	4	5	73:28	67
3	Agri 1970	30	17	7	6	42:27	58
4	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	17	6	7	41:28	57
5	K. Istklalspor	30	16	8	6	55:26	56
6	Kirikkale FK	30	16	6	8	44:31	54
7	Orduspor 1967	30	16	5	9	61:33	53
8	Gemlikspor	30	10	11	9	38:29	41
9	Erciyes 38	30	9	7	14	35:48	34
10	1926 Polatli Belediye	30	7	8	15	37:58	29
11	Izmir Coruhlu	30	7	7	16	41:58	28
12	Nigde	30	6	9	15	30:53	27
13	Edirnespor Genclik	30	5	7	18	28:62	22
14	Tepecik	30	4	9	17	24:54	21
15	Denizlispor	30	5	12	13	27:55	21
16	Turgutlu	30	4	7	19	34:60	19