Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turgutlu vs Denizlispor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bilgi U.
44' Event
Ulaman M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Turgutlu
35%
Draws
24%
Denizlispor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Turgutlu average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Denizlispor's 0.8.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Turgutlu taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 12%
Denizlispor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turgutlu Denizlispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 7 12
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Turgutlu vs Denizlispor
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Denizlispor vs Turgutlu
0:4
Nov 24, 2020 Turkish Cup
Denizlispor vs Turgutlu
1:2
Dec 14, 1997 1. Lig
Turgutlu vs Denizlispor
2:3
Sep 28, 1997 1. Lig
Denizlispor vs Turgutlu
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilgi U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Denizlispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulaman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 35 / 100
Denizlispor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turgutlu Denizlispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denizlispor let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Turgutlu found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Turgutlu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turgutlu VS Denizlispor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turgutlu

(Home)
26 Apr
Turgutlu
0 : 3
Izmir Coruhlu
20 Apr
Nigde
1 : 3
Turgutlu
13 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 3
Orduspor 1967
06 Apr
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Turgutlu
02 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

Denizlispor

(Away)
26 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Nigde
20 Apr
Orduspor 1967
1 : 0
Denizlispor
13 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Mardin 1969
06 Apr
Denizlispor
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
02 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Agri 1970
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)