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Turk Gucu Friedberg vs TUS Dietkirchen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turk Gucu Friedberg play TUS Dietkirchen in the Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024. Turk Gucu Friedberg are favorites here. Recently, Turk Gucu Friedberg averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. TUS Dietkirchen averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, Turk Gucu Friedberg won 4, TUS Dietkirchen won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2024 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Turk Gucu Friedberg and 1.63 for TUS Dietkirchen. This points to a Turk Gucu Friedberg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Turk Gucu Friedberg
15%
Draws
23%
TUS Dietkirchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turk Gucu Friedberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Turk Gucu Friedberg picked up more points recently compared to TUS Dietkirchen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Turk Gucu Friedberg Clean Sheet 14%
TUS Dietkirchen Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turk Gucu Friedberg TUS Dietkirchen
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 2.14 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs TUS Dietkirchen
5:0
Sep 16, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
TUS Dietkirchen vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
1:4
Nov 26, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
TUS Dietkirchen vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
2:3
Aug 13, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs TUS Dietkirchen
4:3
Oct 31, 2021 Oberliga Hessen
TUS Dietkirchen vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turk Gucu Friedberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yikilmaz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

TUS Dietkirchen Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turk Gucu Friedberg 59 / 100
TUS Dietkirchen 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turk Gucu Friedberg TUS Dietkirchen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turk Gucu Friedberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Turk Gucu Friedberg & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turk Gucu Friedberg attacking → ← attacking TUS Dietkirchen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turk Gucu Friedberg scored in 81% of their last 37 games.

TUS Dietkirchen let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Turk Gucu Friedberg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

TUS Dietkirchen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 23
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Giessen34227569:2873
2Turk Gucu Friedberg34235693:4271
3Baunatal34207770:4367
4Alzenau34196972:4063
5Hanauer SC341931270:5557
6Eddersheim341671156:4555
7Hunfelder341661267:6254
8Fernwald341551464:5550
9Weidenhausen341481262:5650
10RW Walldorf341371462:6346
11Waldgirmes341171648:7640
12Stadtallendorf341091553:5439
13Hanau34971856:7834
14VfB Marburg34971846:7134
15SV Steinbach347121546:6933
16Viktoria Griesheim34891739:7133
17Erlensee34762142:7127
18TUS Dietkirchen34662249:8524