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Turkey U20 vs Italy U20

Europe Europe

Elite League U20 2024/2025 Pendik Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Tunali E. In: Fidan Y.
Out: Tunali E.
34' Event
Berenbruch T.
46'
Sub
Sariarslan T. In: Sever I.
Out: Sariarslan T.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League U20 2024/2025 game between Turkey U20 and Italy U20 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Turkey U20
20%
Draws
16%
Italy U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turkey U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Turkey U20 haven't matched Italy U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Turkey U20 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Turkey U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Italy U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkey U20 Italy U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 Elite League U20
Turkey U20 vs Italy U20
0:3
Sep 5, 2012 Friendly International
Italy U20 vs Turkey U20
2:2
Jan 12, 2011 Friendly International
Turkey U20 vs Italy U20
0:3
May 23, 2008 Maurice Revello Tournament
Italy U20 vs Turkey U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Italy U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenbruch T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caprini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey U20 74 / 100
Italy U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkey U20 Italy U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkey U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Turkey U20's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Italy U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Italy U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Turkey U20 VS Italy U20
1.17 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey U20

(Home)
26 Aug
Turkey U20
1 : 2
Tunisia U21
24 Aug
Turkey U20
3 : 0
North Macedonia U21
22 Aug
Morocco U20
2 : 2
Turkey U20
25 Mar
Romania U20
3 : 1
Turkey U20
20 Mar
Turkey U20
0 : 3
Italy U20
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Italy U20

(Away)
29 Sept
Germany U20
3 : 0
Italy U20
25 Sept
Italy U20
1 : 3
England U20
27 Mar
Italy U20
3 : 3
England U20
17 Nov
Germany U20
5 : 0
Italy U20
14 Nov
Italy U20
1 : 2
Portugal U20
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