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Turkey W vs Ireland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Esenler Stadium, Istanbul
Turkey W Logo

Turkey W

1 - 2
FT
Ireland W Logo

Ireland W

Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Civelek I.
46'
Sub
Mannion A. In: Hayes C.
Out: Mannion A.
49' Event
Hancar K.
Assist: Civelek I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ireland W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ireland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Turkey W
15%
Draws
40%
Ireland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turkey W lately — more wins on the board than Ireland W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Turkey W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Turkey W Clean Sheet 20%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkey W Ireland W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Turkey W vs Ireland W
1:2
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Ireland W vs Turkey W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hancar K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey W 42 / 100
Ireland W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkey W Ireland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkey W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ireland W conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Turkey W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turkey W VS Ireland W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey W

(Home)
09 Jun
Malta W
0 : 3
Turkey W
05 Jun
Turkey W
2 : 1
Northern Ireland W
18 Apr
Turkey W
1 : 1
Switzerland W
14 Apr
Switzerland W
3 : 1
Turkey W
07 Mar
Northern Ireland W
0 : 1
Turkey W
Page 1 of 6

Ireland W

(Away)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)