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Turkey W vs Ukraine W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro Women Diyarbakir Stadium, Diyarbakır
Turkey W Logo

Turkey W

1 - 1
FT
Ukraine W Logo

Ukraine W

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Apanaschenko D.
46'
Sub
Kravchuk R. In: Hlushchenko I.
Out: Kravchuk R.
55'
Petryk A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Turkey W
15%
Draws
0%
Ukraine W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turkey W come out ahead of Ukraine W on wins alone.
  • Turkey W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Turkey W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ukraine W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ukraine W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Turkey W Clean Sheet 68%
Ukraine W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkey W Ukraine W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 Euro Women
Ukraine W vs Turkey W
2:0
Oct 25, 2024 Euro Women
Turkey W vs Ukraine W
1:1
Sep 21, 2021 Friendly International Women
Ukraine W vs Turkey W
1:0
Nov 11, 2019 Friendly International Women
Turkey W vs Ukraine W
0:4
Sep 13, 2014 World Cup Women
Ukraine W vs Turkey W
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Keskin E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ukraine W Compare

Top Goalscorer Apanaschenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey W 95 / 100
Ukraine W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkey W Ukraine W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Ukraine W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Turkey W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ukraine W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turkey W VS Ukraine W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey W

(Home)
09 Jun
Malta W
0 : 3
Turkey W
05 Jun
Turkey W
2 : 1
Northern Ireland W
18 Apr
Turkey W
1 : 1
Switzerland W
14 Apr
Switzerland W
3 : 1
Turkey W
07 Mar
Northern Ireland W
0 : 1
Turkey W
Page 1 of 6

Ukraine W

(Away)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Azerbaijan W 1
Portugal W 8
Belarus W 1
Czech Republic W 8
Hungary W 0
Scotland W 5
Montenegro W 0
Finland W 6
Turkey W 1
Ukraine W 3
Greece W 0
Belgium W 5
Slovakia W 2
Wales W 3
Georgia W 0
Ireland W 9
Romania W 2
Poland W 6
Slovenia W 1
Austria W 5
Croatia W 1
Northern Ireland W 2
Albania W 0
Norway W 14
Bosnia & Herzegovina W 3
Serbia W 6
Luxembourg W 0
Sweden W 12
Final
Portugal W 3
Czech Republic W 2
Scotland W 0
Finland W 2
Ukraine W 1
Belgium W 4
Wales W 3
Ireland W 2
Poland W 2
Austria W 0
Northern Ireland W 0
Norway W 7
Serbia W 0
Sweden W 8