Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turkistan vs Khan Tengri

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Gabiden A. In: Strizhkov N.
Out: Gabiden A.
56'
Sub
Mukhametali K. In: Al Khadzh N.
Out: Mukhametali K.
57'
Temershi E.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Turkistan and Khan Tengri finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Turkistan
15%
Draws
85%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Khan Tengri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Khan Tengri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Khan Tengri here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Turkistan Clean Sheet 20%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkistan Khan Tengri
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.57 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2025 First League
Turkistan vs Khan Tengri
1:0
Jun 12, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs Turkistan
4:3
Oct 25, 2024 First League
Turkistan vs Khan Tengri
0:5
May 16, 2024 First League
Khan Tengri vs Turkistan
4:0
Sep 1, 2023 First League
Turkistan vs Khan Tengri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabirzhanov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Khan Tengri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkistan 10 / 100
Khan Tengri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkistan Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Khan Tengri conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Turkistan found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Khan Tengri lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Khan Tengri
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkistan

(Home)
24 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
3 : 0
Turkistan
17 Oct
Turkistan
1 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Oct
Aktobe 2
3 : 0
Turkistan
25 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
19 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
6 : 1
Turkistan
Page 1 of 6

Khan Tengri

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
Promotion - Premier League (Main)