Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First League 2025

Turkistan

1 - 0

Khan Tengri

Our Tip

Match Events

56'

Sub

Gabiden A. In: Strizhkov N.

Out: Gabiden A.

56'

Sub

Mukhametali K. In: Al Khadzh N.

Out: Mukhametali K.

57'

Temershi E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Turkistan and Khan Tengri finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Turkistan

33%

Draws

40%

Khan Tengri

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Khan Tengri carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Khan Tengri's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Khan Tengri here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Turkistan Clean Sheet 10%

Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turkistan	Khan Tengri
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	2	10
Draws	3	4
Losses	25	20
Goals Scored	0.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	3.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2025 First League

Turkistan vs Khan Tengri

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Jun 12, 2025 First League

Khan Tengri vs Turkistan

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

4:3

Oct 25, 2024 First League

Turkistan vs Khan Tengri

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:5

May 16, 2024 First League

Khan Tengri vs Turkistan

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Sep 1, 2023 First League

Turkistan vs Khan Tengri

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabirzhanov K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Khan Tengri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkistan 26 / 100

Khan Tengri 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turkistan Khan Tengri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Khan Tengri conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Away concern: Khan Tengri has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Turkistan scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkistan VS Khan Tengri

0.5 Goals Scored 1.75

3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kaspij Aktau	26	22	2	2	74:27	68
2	Ertis Pavlodar	26	19	4	3	71:20	61
3	Altai	26	17	4	5	54:23	55
4	Shakhter Karagandy	26	16	5	5	61:34	53
5	Zhetisay	26	13	3	10	44:35	42
6	Kairat Almaty 2	26	12	4	10	58:42	40
7	Akademiya Ontustik	26	12	3	11	44:44	39
8	Taraz	26	10	5	11	43:38	35
9	AKAS	26	10	3	13	42:39	33
10	FC Ekibastuz	26	8	4	14	36:60	28
11	SD Family	26	7	2	17	33:75	23
12	Khan Tengri	26	5	3	18	27:55	18
13	Aktobe 2	26	3	7	16	34:65	16
14	Turkistan	26	2	3	21	16:80	9