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Stadium Background

Turkistan vs SD Family

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Oktiyabr' Zharylkapov Stadium, Turkestan
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Match Events

4'
Isaev S.
26'
Isaev S.
26'
Isaev S.

AI Match Summary

SD Family in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Family.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Turkistan
15%
Draws
85%
SD Family
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Family

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Turkistan haven't matched SD Family's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • SD Family have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Turkistan Clean Sheet 10%
SD Family Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkistan SD Family
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.57 1.33
Goals Conceded 3.4 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2025 First League
SD Family vs Turkistan
7:0
May 28, 2025 First League
Turkistan vs SD Family
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Turkistan vs SD Family
0:5
Sep 20, 2024 First League
Turkistan vs SD Family
1:1
Jun 13, 2024 First League
SD Family vs Turkistan
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkistan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

SD Family Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharipkhan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkistan 29 / 100
SD Family 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkistan SD Family

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Family has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

SD Family's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Turkistan's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Turkistan VS SD Family
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
3.88 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkistan

(Home)
24 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
3 : 0
Turkistan
17 Oct
Turkistan
1 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Oct
Aktobe 2
3 : 0
Turkistan
25 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
19 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
6 : 1
Turkistan
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SD Family

(Away)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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