Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turkmenistan vs Chinese Taipei

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Ashgabat Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Myratberdiyev R.
Assist: Charyyev T.
45' Event
Kouame A.
Assist: Estevez E.
53' Event
Tagayev E.
Assist: Mammedov Y.

AI Match Summary

The Asian Cup game between Turkmenistan and Chinese Taipei finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkmenistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Turkmenistan
6%
Draws
4%
Chinese Taipei
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turkmenistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chinese Taipei's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Turkmenistan have produced (1).
  • Model gives Turkmenistan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Asian Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Turkmenistan here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 68%
Chinese Taipei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkmenistan Chinese Taipei
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Asian Cup
Turkmenistan vs Chinese Taipei
3:1
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Turkmenistan
1:2
Nov 14, 2017 Asian Cup
Turkmenistan vs Chinese Taipei
2:1
Mar 26, 2017 Asian Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Turkmenistan
1:3
Mar 23, 2011 AFC Challenge Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Turkmenistan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkmenistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Myratberdiyev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tagayev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chinese Taipei Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkmenistan 95 / 100
Chinese Taipei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkmenistan Chinese Taipei

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TKM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chinese Taipei conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Chinese Taipei's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Turkmenistan scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkmenistan VS Chinese Taipei
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

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4Timor-Leste61054:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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2Lebanon641114:213
3Bhutan61144:164
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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Singapore64208:414
2Hong Kong62228:88
3Bangladesh61236:85
4India61234:65
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand650116:515
2Turkmenistan640211:712
3Sri Lanka63038:99
4Chinese Taipei60065:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Syria660021:218
2Myanmar64028:1112
3Afghanistan60244:112
4Pakistan60242:112
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam660017:218
2Malaysia630310:109
3Laos62044:166
4Nepal61055:83