Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Ashgabat Stadium, Ashgabat

Turkmenistan

0 - 1

Iran

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Durdyyew D.

39'

Kanaani H.

40'

Gurbanow Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Turkmenistan and Iran finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Turkmenistan

30%

Draws

23%

Iran

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turkmenistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Iran carry the better recent record into this one.
Turkmenistan are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Iran have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 19%

Iran Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turkmenistan	Iran
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	5	16
Draws	5	7
Losses	16	7
Goals Scored	0.88	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.65	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 World Championship

Turkmenistan vs Iran

0:1

Mar 21, 2024 World Championship

Iran vs Turkmenistan

5:0

Nov 12, 2015 World Championship

Iran vs Turkmenistan

3:1

Jun 16, 2015 World Championship

Turkmenistan vs Iran

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkmenistan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Iran Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghaedi M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkmenistan 76 / 100

Iran 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turkmenistan Iran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkmenistan Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Turkmenistan scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Iran conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Turkmenistan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkmenistan VS Iran

1 Goals Scored 1.88

0.67 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkmenistan

(Home)

31 Mar

Thailand

2 : 1

Turkmenistan

18 Nov

Turkmenistan

3 : 1

Chinese Taipei

14 Oct

Turkmenistan

2 : 1

Sri Lanka

09 Oct

Sri Lanka

1 : 0

Turkmenistan

05 Sept

Turkmenistan

1 : 2

Oman

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Iran

(Away)

29 Sept

Russia

2 : 0

Iran

24 Sept

Uzbekistan

3 : 1

Iran

27 Jun

Egypt

1 : 1

Iran

21 Jun

Belgium

0 : 0

Iran

16 Jun

Iran

2 : 2

New Zealand

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