Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Byashimov A. In: Annagulyyev G.
Out: Byashimov A.
28'
28'
Addis Z.
38'
38'
Thayaparan J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sri Lanka lately — more wins on the board than Turkmenistan.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Sri Lanka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Turkmenistan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 18%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2025 Asian Cup
Turkmenistan vs Sri Lanka
2:1
Oct 9, 2025 Asian Cup
Sri Lanka vs Turkmenistan
1:0
Nov 19, 2019 World Championship
Turkmenistan vs Sri Lanka
2:0
Sep 5, 2019 World Championship
Sri Lanka vs Turkmenistan
0:2
Oct 9, 2004 World Championship
Sri Lanka vs Turkmenistan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Turkmenistan Compare
Top Goalscorer Tagayev E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saparow M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sri Lanka Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Turkmenistan 36 / 100
Sri Lanka 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Turkmenistan Sri Lanka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sri Lanka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Turkmenistan found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).
Solid form: Turkmenistan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Turkmenistan VS Sri Lanka
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Turkmenistan
(Home) 31 Mar
Thailand
2 : 1 Turkmenistan
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1 Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1 Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0 Turkmenistan
05 Sept
Turkmenistan
1 : 2 Oman
Page 1 of 6
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1 Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1 Sri Lanka
05 Sept
Turkmenistan
1 : 2 Oman
02 Sept
Turkmenistan
1 : 2 Uzbekistan
10 Jun
Turkmenistan
3 : 1 Thailand
Page 1 of 3
Sri Lanka
(Away) 08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1 Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3 Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4 Thailand
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1 Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0 Turkmenistan
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3 Sri Lanka
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1 Sri Lanka
25 Mar
Thailand
1 : 0 Sri Lanka
20 Mar
Laos
1 : 2 Sri Lanka
13 Oct
Myanmar
0 : 0 Sri Lanka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Maldives | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Bhutan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Brunei | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Bangladesh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | India | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Afghanistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Laos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
