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Turks and Caicos Islands vs Sint Maarten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Paul J.
70' Event
Paul J.

AI Match Summary

Turks and Caicos Islands in this CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turks and Caicos Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Turks and Caicos Islands
15%
Draws
12%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turks and Caicos Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Turks and Caicos Islands haven't matched Sint Maarten's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Turks and Caicos Islands's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turks and Caicos Islands have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 15%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turks and Caicos Islands Sint Maarten
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.58
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Sint Maarten
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Turks and Caicos Islands
8:2
Nov 14, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Sint Maarten
3:2
Oct 10, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Turks and Caicos Islands
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Paul J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sint Maarten Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turks and Caicos Islands 57 / 100
Sint Maarten 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turks and Caicos Islands Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turks and Caicos Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sint Maarten conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sint Maarten has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Turks and Caicos Islands found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Turks and Caicos Islands VS Sint Maarten
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Turks and Caicos Islands

(Home)
06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
04 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
29 Sept
British Virgin Islands
0 : 3
Turks and Caicos Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
Page 1 of 6

Sint Maarten

(Away)
06 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4 : 0
Sint Maarten
03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sint Maarten 6 3 2 1 19:9 11
2 Bonaire 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 6 3 0 3 10:16 9
4 United States Virgin Islands 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Aruba 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
3 Saint Martin 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Lucia 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Anguilla 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
3 Dominica 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puerto Rico 4 4 0 0 17:2 12
2 Cayman Islands 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
3 British Virgin Islands 4 0 2 2 3:11 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)