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Turriff United vs Buckie Thistle

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Allen F.
36' Event
Taylor M.
41' Event
Findlay B.
Assist: Allen F.

AI Match Summary

Buckie Thistle in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buckie Thistle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Turriff United
15%
Draws
28%
Buckie Thistle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turriff United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Buckie Thistle lately — more wins on the board than Turriff United.
  • Win probability leans Turriff United's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Turriff United Clean Sheet 10%
Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turriff United Buckie Thistle
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.46 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Highland League
Turriff United vs Buckie Thistle
1:2
Feb 11, 2026 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Turriff United
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 Highland League
Turriff United vs Buckie Thistle
0:4
Feb 22, 2025 Highland League
Turriff United vs Buckie Thistle
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Turriff United
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turriff United Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Buckie Thistle Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Findlay B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turriff United 74 / 100
Buckie Thistle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turriff United Buckie Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turriff United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Turriff United scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Buckie Thistle let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Buckie Thistle's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Turriff United VS Buckie Thistle
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Turriff United

(Home)
26 Sept
Turriff United
4 : 1
Rothes
19 Sept
Invergordon
3 : 1
Turriff United
16 Sept
Turriff United
2 : 1
Huntly
05 Sept
Turriff United
1 : 3
Inverurie Loco Works
29 Aug
Brora Rangers
3 : 1
Turriff United
Page 1 of 6

Buckie Thistle

(Away)
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1
Buckie Thistle
12 Sept
Buckie Thistle
0 : 3
Huntly
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
29 Aug
Buckie Thistle
5 : 0
Rothes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 12 10 2 0 48:10 32
2 Inverurie Loco Works 13 7 5 1 27:18 26
3 Formartine Utd 12 6 4 2 23:16 22
4 Fraserburgh 11 6 3 2 24:10 21
5 Strathspey Thistle 13 6 2 5 24:16 20
6 Forres Mechanics 12 6 2 4 21:15 20
7 Buckie Thistle 11 6 1 4 30:16 19
8 Banks O' Dee 12 5 4 3 28:24 19
9 Clachnacuddin 11 4 5 2 24:11 17
10 Turriff United 12 5 1 6 16:17 16
11 Huntly 12 4 3 5 23:20 15
12 Nairn County 12 3 5 4 16:19 14
13 Lossiemouth 12 4 2 6 16:26 14
14 Deveronvale 12 3 3 6 16:20 12
15 Keith 12 3 3 6 18:29 12
16 Invergordon 12 3 1 8 15:35 10
17 Wick Academy 12 2 0 10 11:34 6
18 Rothes 11 1 0 10 8:52 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)