Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turris vs Casertana

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Amerigo Liguori, Torre del Greco
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Bianchi S.
42'
Gatti R.
46'
Sub
Bianchi S. In: Damian F.
Out: Bianchi S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 game between Turris and Casertana finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casertana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Turris
35%
Draws
27%
Casertana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Turris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casertana come out ahead of Turris on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Turris's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Turris Clean Sheet 68%
Casertana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turris Casertana
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Casertana
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Turris
0:0
Mar 11, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Casertana
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Turris
1:0
Feb 27, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Casertana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turris Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Casertana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vano M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turris 50 / 100
Casertana 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turris Casertana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Turris stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Casertana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Turris scored in 53% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turris VS Casertana
1.14 Goals Scored 1.63
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turris

(Home)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3
Martina Calcio
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Casertana

(Away)
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3
Casertana
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)