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TuS Hordel vs Erkenschwick

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Westfalen game between TuS Hordel and Erkenschwick finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
TuS Hordel
30%
Draws
47%
Erkenschwick
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erkenschwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • TuS Hordel haven't matched Erkenschwick's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Erkenschwick a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
TuS Hordel Clean Sheet 16%
Erkenschwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TuS Hordel Erkenschwick
Matches Played 20 28
Wins 3 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.95 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
TuS Hordel vs Erkenschwick
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TuS Hordel 15 / 100
Erkenschwick 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TuS Hordel Erkenschwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erkenschwick Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TuS Hordel's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Erkenschwick's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

TuS Hordel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TuS Hordel VS Erkenschwick
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TuS Hordel

(Home)
04 Oct
TuS Hordel
1 : 4
Vreden
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
20 Sept
TuS Hordel
2 : 1
Hiltrup
13 Sept
Verl II
1 : 1
TuS Hordel
06 Sept
TuS Hordel
1 : 3
Arminia Bielefeld II
Page 1 of 4

Erkenschwick

(Away)
04 Oct
Erkenschwick
4 : 1
Verl II
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
20 Sept
Erkenschwick
3 : 2
Clarholz
13 Sept
Preussen Munster 2
1 : 1
Erkenschwick
06 Sept
Erkenschwick
2 : 1
Westfalia Kinderhaus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 9 6 1 2 19:12 19
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 25:19 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 20:13 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
6 Lippstadt 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 25:17 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
9 ASC 09 Dortmund 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
10 Arminia Bielefeld II 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
11 Preussen Munster 2 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 14:17 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 17:23 9
15 Clarholz 9 2 2 5 21:22 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
17 TUS Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 10:23 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)