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Tuvalu vs Tahiti

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games 2019 game between Tuvalu and Tahiti finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tahiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tuvalu
15%
Draws
51%
Tahiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tahiti come out ahead of Tuvalu on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tahiti taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tuvalu Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuvalu Tahiti
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.83
Goals Conceded 5.67 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2019 Pacific Games
Tuvalu vs Tahiti
0:7
Aug 30, 2007 World Championship
Tuvalu vs Tahiti
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuvalu 10 / 100
Tahiti 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuvalu Tahiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tahiti let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tuvalu scored in 44% of their last 18 outings.

Recent resilience: Tuvalu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuvalu VS Tahiti
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuvalu

(Home)
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
27 Nov
Tonga
0 : 4
Tuvalu
20 Nov
Tuvalu
0 : 6
Vanuatu
17 Nov
Papua New Guinea
3 : 0
Tuvalu
17 Jul
New Caledonia
11 : 0
Tuvalu
Page 1 of 4

Tahiti

(Away)
01 Oct
Cook Islands
3 : 2
Tahiti
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
18 Nov
Tahiti
2 : 0
Vanuatu
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 4 3 1 0 20:1 10
2 Papua New Guinea 4 3 0 1 16:2 9
3 Vanuatu 4 2 1 1 25:2 7
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 3:22 3
5 Tonga 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia 5 5 0 0 22:0 15
2 Fiji 5 3 1 1 25:7 10
3 Tahiti 5 3 0 2 19:6 9
4 Solomon Islands 5 2 1 2 30:9 7
5 American Samoa 5 0 1 4 2:36 1
6 Tuvalu 5 0 1 4 2:42 1
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)