Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuzlaspor vs Goztepe

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2023/2024 Tuzla Belediyesi Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Sub
Novikovas A. In: Stankovski L.
Out: Novikovas A.
58' Event
Togui W.
60'
Yuksel C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tuzlaspor
35%
Draws
24%
Goztepe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuzlaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Tuzlaspor haven't matched Goztepe's recent run of results.
  • Tuzlaspor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tuzlaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Goztepe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuzlaspor Goztepe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 1. Lig
Tuzlaspor vs Goztepe
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 1. Lig
Goztepe vs Tuzlaspor
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 1. Lig
Tuzlaspor vs Goztepe
0:2
Oct 16, 2022 1. Lig
Goztepe vs Tuzlaspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuzlaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Togui W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Goztepe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundqvist R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuzlaspor 77 / 100
Goztepe 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuzlaspor Goztepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuzlaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuzlaspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tuzlaspor scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Goztepe conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Goztepe
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuzlaspor

(Home)
11 May
Tuzlaspor
1 : 1
Genclerbirligi
05 May
Sakaryaspor
0 : 2
Tuzlaspor
28 Apr
Tuzlaspor
0 : 0
Bodrumspor
20 Apr
Bandirmaspor
1 : 1
Tuzlaspor
14 Apr
Tuzlaspor
1 : 1
Goztepe
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Goztepe

(Away)
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 2
Goztepe
23 Aug
Goztepe
0 : 1
Genclerbirligi
17 Aug
Samsunspor
3 : 3
Goztepe
08 Aug
Goztepe
2 : 1
Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eyupspor 34 24 3 7 77:31 75
2 Goztepe 34 21 7 6 60:20 70
3 Sakaryaspor 34 17 9 8 50:35 60
4 Bodrumspor 34 15 12 7 43:22 57
5 Corum FK 34 16 8 10 55:36 56
6 Kocaelispor 34 16 7 11 48:41 55
7 Boluspor 34 15 8 11 33:35 53
8 Genclerbirligi 34 13 12 9 39:33 51
9 Bandirmaspor 34 13 11 10 49:32 50
10 Erzurumspor FK 34 12 11 11 30:34 44
11 Umraniyespor 34 12 7 15 40:47 43
12 Manisa FK 34 9 13 12 40:40 40
13 Keciorengucu 34 10 10 14 34:43 40
14 Adanaspor AS 34 11 6 17 28:45 39
15 Sanliurfaspor 34 9 11 14 32:37 38
16 Tuzlaspor 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
17 Altay 34 5 4 25 16:76 10
18 Giresunspor 34 2 4 28 16:71 7
Promotion - Super Lig 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2023/2024 (Play Offs)