Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tvaaker vs Kristianstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Övrevi IP, Tvååker
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Larsson O.
45'
Svensson L.
63'
Sub
Henningsson A. In: Asterman Fridman V.
Out: Henningsson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Tvaaker and Kristianstad finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kristianstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Tvaaker
15%
Draws
32%
Kristianstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tvaaker carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Tvaaker taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 16%
Kristianstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Kristianstad
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.15 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
1:2
May 30, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Kristianstad
1:2
Oct 5, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Kristianstad
2:1
May 12, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
1:1
Oct 6, 2018 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs Tvaaker
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Laci M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kristianstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Alsen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asterman Fridman V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 39 / 100
Kristianstad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Kristianstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tvaaker Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kristianstad has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Tvaaker remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS Kristianstad
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tvaaker

(Home)
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
22 Aug
Olympic
3 : 4
Tvaaker
15 Aug
Kristianstad
1 : 2
Tvaaker
08 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Atvidaberg
Page 1 of 6

Kristianstad

(Away)
05 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 1
Kristianstad
29 Aug
Kristianstad
5 : 2
Atvidaberg
23 Aug
Skovde
3 : 1
Kristianstad
15 Aug
Kristianstad
1 : 2
Tvaaker
07 Aug
Kristianstad
1 : 0
Angelholm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 20 11 6 3 42:23 39
2 Hassleholms IF 20 12 3 5 40:24 39
3 Atvidaberg 20 10 6 4 42:30 36
4 Lunds Bois 20 9 8 3 42:26 35
5 Rosengard 20 9 7 4 35:26 34
6 Tvaaker 20 9 5 6 28:28 32
7 AFC Malmo 20 8 7 5 39:31 31
8 Jonkoping 20 7 5 8 25:20 26
9 Olympic 20 8 2 10 36:40 26
10 Eskilsminne 20 7 4 9 32:37 25
11 Trollhattan 20 6 7 7 28:33 25
12 Skovde 20 5 9 6 20:29 24
13 Kristianstad 20 5 5 10 25:33 20
14 Laholms 20 5 3 12 27:38 18
15 Angelholm 20 3 8 9 25:36 17
16 Utsikten 20 1 5 14 17:49 8
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)