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Tvaaker vs Onsala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 Övrevi IP
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Laci M.
25' Event
Laci M.
28' Event
Nygaard A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 game between Tvaaker and Onsala finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tvaaker
22%
Draws
18%
Onsala
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Onsala haven't matched Tvaaker's recent run of results.
  • Tvaaker are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 18%
Onsala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Onsala
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tvaaker vs Onsala
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Tvaaker
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Onsala vs Tvaaker
2:3
Jun 20, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Onsala
2:1
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Tvaaker vs Onsala
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Laci M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Onsala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 58 / 100
Onsala 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Onsala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tvaaker scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Onsala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tvaaker remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS Onsala
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Laholms26193469:3360
2Tvaaker26176370:2457
3Astorps26136743:3245
4Onsala26135864:4144
5Frolunda261331050:5042
6Lindome261321163:5441
7Qviding261151057:4838
8Jonsereds26108848:4838
9BK Astrio261061055:4436
10Landvetter261031347:5533
11Hestrafors26681240:4826
12Boljan26651533:5923
13Varbergs GIF26711829:5822
14Bergdalens IK26232125:999