Sport Picks
TVD Velbert vs MSV Dusseldorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 
Match Events
14'
14'
Fagasinski A.
21'
21'
Di Gaetano F.
76'
76'
Schikowski F.
AI Match Summary
TVD Velbert in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TVD Velbert.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MSV Dusseldorf
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to MSV Dusseldorf lately — more wins on the board than TVD Velbert.
- Win probability leans MSV Dusseldorf's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- TVD Velbert have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
MSV Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TVD Velbert | MSV Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs MSV Dusseldorf
3:2
Nov 6, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
MSV Dusseldorf vs TVD Velbert
2:2
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
MSV Dusseldorf vs TVD Velbert
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TVD Velbert Compare
Top Goalscorer Fagasinski A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Di Gaetano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
MSV Dusseldorf Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouzraa A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bojkovski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
MSV Dusseldorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TVD Velbert MSV Dusseldorf
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MSV Dusseldorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
MSV Dusseldorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: TVD Velbert scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.
MSV Dusseldorf lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TVD Velbert VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
TVD Velbert
(Home) 01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5 FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0 TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8 SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3 TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5 Meerbusch
Page 1 of 7
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5 FC Monheim
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8 SC St.Tonis
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5 Meerbusch
17 Apr
TVD Velbert
2 : 4 SSVg Velbert
06 Apr
TVD Velbert
1 : 3 Baumberg
Page 1 of 4
MSV Dusseldorf
(Away) 31 Jan
MSV Dusseldorf
2 : 2 Meerbusch
28 Jan
MSV Dusseldorf
2 : 3 Bergisch Born
25 Jan
Buderich
3 : 1 MSV Dusseldorf
20 Jul
Buderich
2 : 1 MSV Dusseldorf
04 Jun
Uerdingen
3 : 6 MSV Dusseldorf
Page 1 of 6
25 Jan
Buderich
3 : 1 MSV Dusseldorf
20 Jul
Buderich
2 : 1 MSV Dusseldorf
04 Jun
Uerdingen
3 : 6 MSV Dusseldorf
21 May
Union Nettetal
2 : 1 MSV Dusseldorf
12 May
TVD Velbert
3 : 2 MSV Dusseldorf
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSVg Velbert | 40 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 93:33 | 94 |
| 2 | Hilden | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 89:45 | 79 |
| 3 | TVD Velbert | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 86:46 | 78 |
| 4 | Germania Ratingen | 40 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 79:55 | 74 |
| 5 | SW Essen | 40 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 84:52 | 73 |
| 6 | Uerdingen | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 80:58 | 72 |
| 7 | Schonnebeck | 40 | 19 | 4 | 17 | 84:70 | 61 |
| 8 | Meerbusch | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 81:67 | 59 |
| 9 | Baumberg | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 78:54 | 58 |
| 10 | Hamborn | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 77:79 | 56 |
| 11 | Union Nettetal | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 65:72 | 55 |
| 12 | Homberg | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 68:57 | 54 |
| 13 | Sonsbeck | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 71:68 | 53 |
| 14 | SC St.Tonis | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 59:60 | 53 |
| 15 | Kleve | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 67:77 | 52 |
| 16 | MSV Dusseldorf | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 71:68 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Monheim | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 58:76 | 42 |
| 18 | Cronenberger | 40 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 38:87 | 30 |
| 19 | TuRU Dusseldorf | 40 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 35:85 | 29 |
| 20 | Kray | 40 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 47:110 | 24 |
| 21 | FSV Duisburg | 40 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 36:127 | 18 |
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)
