Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TVD Velbert vs Straelen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024
Sun, Apr 14, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TVD Velbert host Straelen in the Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Straelen have shipped 1.08 goals a game lately, while TVD Velbert have conceded 3.09 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, TVD Velbert have won 1 to Straelen's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 2.31, favoring Straelen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
TVD Velbert
15%
Draws
69%
Straelen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Straelen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Straelen have won more games recently than TVD Velbert.
  • Win probability leans Straelen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
Straelen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TVD Velbert Straelen
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 1
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 3.09 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Straelen
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Straelen vs TVD Velbert
0:3
Apr 26, 2020 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Straelen
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Oberliga Niederrhein
Straelen vs TVD Velbert
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVD Velbert 10 / 100
Straelen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TVD Velbert Straelen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Straelen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TVD Velbert scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Straelen has conceded goals in 58% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

TVD Velbert went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TVD Velbert VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TVD Velbert

(Home)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
Page 1 of 7

Straelen

(Away)
15 Dec
Straelen
2 : 0
SW Essen
08 Dec
Straelen
3 : 0
Frintrop
03 Dec
Meerbusch
1 : 3
Straelen
18 Nov
Straelen
3 : 1
Sonsbeck
10 Nov
Union Nettetal
1 : 1
Straelen
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baumberg 32 21 4 7 74:33 67
2 Schonnebeck 32 18 6 8 71:46 60
3 Uerdingen 32 18 4 10 56:40 58
4 SW Essen 32 16 5 11 60:44 53
5 Homberg 32 16 4 12 52:42 52
6 Hilden 32 15 7 10 57:49 52
7 Germania Ratingen 32 15 6 11 55:48 51
8 Sonsbeck 32 13 5 14 50:48 44
9 Buderich 32 13 3 16 52:51 42
10 SC St.Tonis 32 12 5 15 56:59 41
11 Union Nettetal 32 11 7 14 47:62 40
12 Mulheimer FC 97 32 10 6 16 51:61 36
13 Kleve 32 9 8 15 33:56 35
14 Meerbusch 32 9 7 16 52:62 34
15 TVD Velbert 32 7 13 12 50:65 34
16 Frintrop 32 8 9 15 42:59 33
17 Hamborn 32 6 11 15 36:69 29
18 Straelen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2024/2025 (Main)