Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2007 Kadrioru Staadion

Levadia U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TVMK Tallinn II play Levadia U21 in the Esiliiga 2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, TVMK Tallinn II averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.62 conceded. Levadia U21 averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, TVMK Tallinn II won 1, Levadia U21 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 16, 2008 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for TVMK Tallinn II and 1.36 for Levadia U21. This points to a Levadia U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

TVMK Tallinn II

15%

Draws

50%

Levadia U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

TVMK Tallinn II picked up more points recently compared to Levadia U21.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%

TVMK Tallinn II Clean Sheet 18%

Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TVMK Tallinn II	Levadia U21
Matches Played	34	40
Wins	12	20
Draws	4	4
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	1.88	2.17
Goals Conceded	2.62	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2008 Esiliiga

TVMK Tallinn II vs Levadia U21

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Aug 27, 2008 Esiliiga

Levadia U21 vs TVMK Tallinn II

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

May 11, 2008 Esiliiga

TVMK Tallinn II vs Levadia U21

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

0:4

May 4, 2008 Esiliiga

Levadia U21 vs TVMK Tallinn II

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Nov 4, 2007 Esiliiga

Levadia U21 vs TVMK Tallinn II

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVMK Tallinn II 35 / 100

Levadia U21 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TVMK Tallinn II Levadia U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Levadia U21 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TVMK Tallinn II attacking → ← attacking Levadia U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TVMK Tallinn II scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Levadia U21 let in goals in 80% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

TVMK Tallinn II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Levadia U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 64

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levadia U21	36	27	5	4	95:20	86
2	Flora II	36	24	6	6	97:33	78
3	Sillamae Kalev	36	20	9	7	67:40	69
4	Tammeka Tartu U21	36	14	11	11	51:39	53
5	TVMK Tallinn II	36	15	8	13	81:68	53
6	Kalju	36	13	9	14	69:69	48
7	Valga Warrior	36	13	5	18	72:73	44
8	Tulevik Viljandi II	36	9	7	20	37:84	34
9	Tartu Valk	36	7	8	21	49:93	29
10	Elva	36	3	2	31	17:116	11