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TVMK Tallinn vs Kalju

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2008/2009 Kadrioru Staadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Estonian Cup 2008/2009 game between TVMK Tallinn and Kalju finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
TVMK Tallinn
33%
Draws
27%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: TVMK Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • TVMK Tallinn have managed 0 goals a game lately — Kalju are scoring more at 2.
  • TVMK Tallinn are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TVMK Tallinn Clean Sheet 15%
Kalju Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TVMK Tallinn Kalju
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2008 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs TVMK Tallinn
2:0
Aug 30, 2008 Meistriliiga
TVMK Tallinn vs Kalju
2:1
Aug 6, 2008 Estonian Cup
TVMK Tallinn vs Kalju
2:3
Jun 21, 2008 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs TVMK Tallinn
1:5
Mar 22, 2008 Meistriliiga
TVMK Tallinn vs Kalju
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVMK Tallinn 39 / 100
Kalju 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TVMK Tallinn Kalju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TVM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TVMK Tallinn scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Kalju's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: TVMK Tallinn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kalju
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Flora3
Johvi Phoenix1
Elva B2
Kalju II3
Levadia10
Tulevik Viljandi II0
Tallinna Kalev0
Narva2
Sillamae Kalev3
Kuressaare1
FC Lootos Polva0
Tammeka Tartu2
Ganvix Turi2
Toompea0
Tulevik1
Kalju2
Quarter-finals
Flora4
Kalju II0
Levadia1
Narva3
Sillamae Kalev3
Tammeka Tartu0
Ganvix Turi1
Kalju4
Semi-finals
Flora3
Narva0
Sillamae Kalev0
Kalju1
Final
Flora1
Kalju0