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Txantrea vs Burlades - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
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Match Events

50'
Zapata M.
54' Event
Valenzuela M.
59' Event
Oscar L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Txantrea and Burlades finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Txantrea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Txantrea
35%
Draws
26%
Burlades
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Txantrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Txantrea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Txantrea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 19%
Burlades Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Txantrea Burlades
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Burlades
3:0
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Txantrea
3:3
Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Burlades
1:2
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Txantrea
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Burlades
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Txantrea Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenzuela M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oscar L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Burlades Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Txantrea 40 / 100
Burlades 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Txantrea Burlades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Txantrea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burlades has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Txantrea found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (38 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Txantrea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Txantrea VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Txantrea

(Home)
08 Oct
Txantrea
0 : 0
Cortes
03 Oct
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Txantrea
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
Page 1 of 8

Burlades

(Away)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)