Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Txantrea vs Izarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Martiarena A.
77' Event
Ibanez I.
85' Event
Hoyos J.

AI Match Summary

Izarra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Izarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Txantrea
30%
Draws
35%
Izarra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Izarra lately — more wins on the board than Txantrea.
  • Txantrea are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 15%
Izarra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Txantrea Izarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 13
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Izarra
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Txantrea
4:1
Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Txantrea
6:1
Sep 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Izarra
1:1
Apr 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Izarra
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Txantrea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Izarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Martiarena A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoyos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Txantrea 35 / 100
Izarra 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Txantrea Izarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Txantrea scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Izarra has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Txantrea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Txantrea VS Izarra
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Txantrea

(Home)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Txantrea
1 : 2
Izarra
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
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Izarra

(Away)
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1
Izarra
30 May
Izarra
1 : 1
Pamplona
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)