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Txantrea vs Pena Azagresa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 game between Txantrea and Pena Azagresa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Txantrea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Txantrea
35%
Draws
30%
Pena Azagresa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena Azagresa come out ahead of Txantrea on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 19%
Pena Azagresa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Txantrea Pena Azagresa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs Txantrea
0:2
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Pena Azagresa
3:0
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Pena Azagresa
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs Txantrea
2:1
Feb 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Pena Azagresa
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Txantrea 36 / 100
Pena Azagresa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Txantrea Pena Azagresa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Azagresa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Azagresa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Txantrea scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Txantrea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Txantrea VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Txantrea

(Home)
08 Oct
Txantrea
0 : 0
Cortes
03 Oct
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Txantrea
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
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Pena Azagresa

(Away)
15 Aug
Pena Azagresa
0 : 1
Racing Rioja
06 Aug
Vianes
2 : 2
Pena Azagresa
25 Jun
Pena Azagresa
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
19 Jun
CD Corellano
5 : 6
Pena Azagresa
13 Jun
Pena Azagresa
0 : 2
Txantrea
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