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Tyumen vs D. Bryansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Geolog Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Osokin D.
(Penalty)
36'
Rukas T.
39'
Maklakov I.

AI Match Summary

D. Bryansk in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored D. Bryansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tyumen
6%
Draws
90%
D. Bryansk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: D. Bryansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • D. Bryansk have won more games recently than Tyumen.
  • Model gives D. Bryansk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 13%
D. Bryansk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tyumen D. Bryansk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs D. Bryansk
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
D. Bryansk vs Tyumen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyatkin I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

D. Bryansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Alim L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tyumen 10 / 100
D. Bryansk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tyumen D. Bryansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

D. Bryansk has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tyumen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tyumen VS D. Bryansk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518