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Tyumen vs D. Bryansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Geolog Stadium, Tyumen
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Osokin D.
(Penalty)
36'
Rukas T.
39'
Maklakov I.

AI Match Summary

D. Bryansk in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored D. Bryansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tyumen
30%
Draws
23%
D. Bryansk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Bryansk have won more games recently than Tyumen.
  • Model gives Tyumen a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 19%
D. Bryansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tyumen D. Bryansk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs D. Bryansk
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
D. Bryansk vs Tyumen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyatkin I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

D. Bryansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Alim L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tyumen 85 / 100
D. Bryansk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tyumen D. Bryansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

D. Bryansk has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tyumen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tyumen VS D. Bryansk
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tyumen

(Home)
26 Sept
Torpedo Miass
2 : 0
Tyumen
19 Sept
Tyumen
2 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
13 Sept
Amkar
2 : 3
Tyumen
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
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D. Bryansk

(Away)
27 Sept
D. Bryansk
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
13 Sept
D. Bryansk
0 : 1
Kirov
05 Sept
Saratov
2 : 2
D. Bryansk
30 Aug
D. Bryansk
1 : 1
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Bryansk 18 11 3 4 23:19 36
2 Kirov 18 8 9 1 31:16 33
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 18 7 5 6 23:22 26
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 6 6 6 21:20 24
5 Amkar 18 6 6 6 30:26 24
6 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 5 7 6 29:36 22
7 Zenit St Petersburg 2 18 6 4 8 33:37 22
8 Tyumen 18 5 5 8 25:25 20
9 Dynamo Stavropol 18 5 3 10 20:26 18
10 Kuban 18 4 6 8 17:25 18
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Relegation)