Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Apr 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tzeirey Um El Fahem host Hapoel Bnei Musmus in the Liga Alef North. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Tzeirey Um El Fahem have averaged 0.38 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Hapoel Bnei Musmus's 0.25 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Tzeirey Um El Fahem slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 0.32, favoring Hapoel Bnei Musmus. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Bnei Musmus come out ahead of Tzeirey Um El Fahem on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tzeirey Um El Fahem a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Matches Played 21 19
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
2:2
Apr 25, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 42 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Hapoel Bnei Musmus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tzeirey Um El Fahem found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (21 games).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Home)
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
20 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
1 : 2
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
13 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 0
Ironi Baka
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
30 Jan
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
3 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Page 1 of 5

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Away)
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
06 Feb
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 1
Beit Shean
30 Jan
Hapoel Karmiel
2 : 3
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
24 Jan
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2 : 1
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)