Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. Catolica vs Everton

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Magallanes H.
33'
Medina A.
33'
Giani J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
U. Catolica
20%
Draws
33%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Everton haven't matched U. Catolica's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • U. Catolica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • U. Catolica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%
Everton Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Everton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga de Primera
Everton vs U. Catolica
0:1
Jul 1, 2026 Copa Chile
U. Catolica vs Everton
2:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile
Everton vs U. Catolica
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Everton
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Primera
Everton vs U. Catolica
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Giani J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 30 / 100
Everton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: U. Catolica scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Everton let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Everton
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

Everton

(Away)
27 Sept
U. De Chile
1 : 1
Everton
27 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. De Chile
12 Sept
Nublense
1 : 3
Everton
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
29 Aug
Limache
0 : 3
Everton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)