Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

U. Catolica

4 - 1

Guayaquil City

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Anangono G.

34'

Mero E.

Assist: Laurino S.

41'

Diaz D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

U. Catolica

28%

Draws

22%

Guayaquil City

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

U. Catolica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Guayaquil City.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for U. Catolica.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 20%

Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. Catolica	Guayaquil City
Matches Played	31	27
Wins	10	8
Draws	9	7
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.38	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Guayaquil City

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

4:1

Aug 11, 2023 Liga Pro

Guayaquil City vs U. Catolica

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Mar 5, 2023 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Guayaquil City

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Jul 17, 2022 Liga Pro

Guayaquil City vs U. Catolica

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 0 - 0

2:0

Feb 26, 2022 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Guayaquil City

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Londono A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Palacios B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 49 / 100

Guayaquil City 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. Catolica Guayaquil City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Guayaquil City let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guayaquil City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Guayaquil City

1.38 Goals Scored 0.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 38%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	18	14	1	3	40:19	43
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	Aucas	17	8	5	4	20:16	29
4	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
5	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
6	U. Catolica	18	7	5	6	28:18	26
7	Macara	18	7	5	6	18:18	26
8	Tecnico U.	18	7	2	9	19:19	23
9	Leones del Norte	18	6	5	7	19:19	23
10	Orense	18	6	5	7	22:24	23
11	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
12	Mushuc Runa	18	5	6	7	23:27	21
13	Guayaquil City	17	5	4	8	14:20	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	18	3	4	11	7:23	13