Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. Catolica vs Manta

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

5 - 1
FT
Manta Logo

Manta

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Alonso M.
Assist: Clavijo E.
24'
Mina G.
29'
Medina C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
U. Catolica
30%
Draws
19%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Manta haven't matched U. Catolica's recent run of results.
  • U. Catolica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Manta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.83 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Manta
5:1
Apr 27, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs U. Catolica
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs U. Catolica
4:2
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Manta
3:0
Jul 31, 2021 Liga Pro
Manta vs U. Catolica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fajardo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Manta Compare

Top Goalscorer Alman J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 95 / 100
Manta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: U. Catolica stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Manta conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Manta
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2
U. Catolica
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Manta

(Away)
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1
Manta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)