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Stadium Background

U. Catolica vs Union La Calera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

Sat, Sep 26, 2026
0 - 1
11:00 PM
Union La Calera Logo

Union La Calera

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Moya C.
25'
Farias A.
41'
Valencia J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
U. Catolica
20%
Draws
33%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives U. Catolica a 47% chance of winning this.
  • U. Catolica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Union La Calera, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Union La Calera
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Copa Chile
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera
0:1
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica
1:1
Apr 21, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera
2:1
Jun 20, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 59 / 100
Union La Calera 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Union La Calera let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

U. Catolica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Union La Calera
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 7

Union La Calera

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -