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U. De Chile vs Palestino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Arce A.
Assist: Assadi L.
26' Event
Vargas E.
Assist: Aranguiz C.
41'
Roco E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between U. De Chile and Palestino finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. De Chile.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
U. De Chile
15%
Draws
40%
Palestino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. De Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and U. De Chile come out ahead of Palestino on wins alone.
  • Model gives U. De Chile a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 16%
Palestino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Chile Palestino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs Palestino
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
U. De Chile vs Palestino
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs U. De Chile
0:0
Oct 13, 2025 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs Palestino
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs U. De Chile
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Palestino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Chile 57 / 100
Palestino 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Chile Palestino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palestino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

U. De Chile's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

U. De Chile has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. De Chile VS Palestino
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Chile

(Home)
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
27 Sept
U. De Chile
1 : 1
Everton
27 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. De Chile
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
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Palestino

(Away)
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1
U. De Concepcion
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
O Higgins
0 : 1
Palestino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 Huachipato 23 9 4 10 32:39 31
10 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
11 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 23 6 4 13 17:39 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)