Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. De Chile vs Union La Calera

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Lucero J. In: Rojas E.
Out: Lucero J.
25' Event
Oyarzo Munoz B.
34'
Mendez K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
U. De Chile
20%
Draws
33%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. De Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to U. De Chile lately — more wins on the board than Union La Calera.
  • U. De Chile are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • U. De Chile have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Union La Calera, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 20%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Chile Union La Calera
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.84 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Copa Chile
U. De Chile vs Union La Calera
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
3:3
Jun 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
2:2
May 10, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
1:0
Mar 24, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Chile vs Union La Calera
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Chile Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarzo Munoz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Chile 58 / 100
Union La Calera 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Chile Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: U. De Chile scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Union La Calera has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: U. De Chile remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

U. De Chile VS Union La Calera
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Chile

(Home)
27 Sept
U. De Chile
1 : 1
Everton
27 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. De Chile
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1
U. De Chile
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Union La Calera

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)