Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción

U. De Concepcion

1 - 3

Curico Unido

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Bustamante C.

20'

Lopes Acevedo M.

45'

Gomez J. P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

U. De Concepcion

15%

Draws

49%

Curico Unido

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curico Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Curico Unido come out ahead of U. De Concepcion on wins alone.
Win probability leans U. De Concepcion's way, sitting at 50%.
Curico Unido arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Curico Unido, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 68%

Curico Unido Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. De Concepcion	Curico Unido
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	6	8
Draws	5	10
Losses	18	10
Goals Scored	0.97	1
Goals Conceded	1.79	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Copa Chile

U. De Concepcion vs Curico Unido

1:3

Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile

Curico Unido vs U. De Concepcion

2:2

Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso

U. De Concepcion vs Curico Unido

2:0

May 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso

Curico Unido vs U. De Concepcion

1:2

Mar 22, 2025 Copa Chile

U. De Concepcion vs Curico Unido

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Neira A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Curico Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustamante C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Lopes Acevedo M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Concepcion 59 / 100

Curico Unido 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. De Concepcion Curico Unido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Concepcion Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Concepcion's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Curico Unido's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Curico Unido has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

U. De Concepcion VS Curico Unido

0.63 Goals Scored 0.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Concepcion

(Home)

06 Sept

Palestino

2 : 1

U. De Concepcion

02 Sept

Coquimbo

1 : 0

U. De Concepcion

30 Aug

U. De Concepcion

2 : 1

U. De Chile

24 Aug

Everton

3 : 1

U. De Concepcion

14 Aug

U. De Concepcion

0 : 2

La Serena

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Curico Unido

(Away)

23 Sept

Curico Unido

0 : 4

D. Concepcion

13 Sept

San Marcos de Arica

3 : 0

Curico Unido

08 Sept

Curico Unido

2 : 1

U. Espanola

05 Sept

D. Puerto Montt

2 : 0

Curico Unido

30 Aug

Curico Unido

0 : 0

Recoleta

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