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U. De Concepcion vs Union La Calera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Gonzalez O.
45'
Fuentealba J.
55'
Espejo J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between U. De Concepcion and Union La Calera finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
U. De Concepcion
15%
Draws
59%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union La Calera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • U. De Concepcion haven't matched Union La Calera's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Union La Calera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 16%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Concepcion Union La Calera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Union La Calera
0:0
Jan 11, 2021 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs U. De Concepcion
1:2
Sep 8, 2020 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Union La Calera
2:1
Nov 16, 2019 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Union La Calera
0:0
Mar 29, 2019 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs U. De Concepcion
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Concepcion 28 / 100
Union La Calera 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Concepcion Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union La Calera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Concepcion's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Union La Calera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: U. De Concepcion stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. De Concepcion VS Union La Calera
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Concepcion

(Home)
02 Oct
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
Huachipato
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1
U. De Concepcion
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1
U. De Chile
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1
U. De Concepcion
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Union La Calera

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 Huachipato 23 9 4 10 32:39 31
10 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
11 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 23 6 4 13 17:39 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)