Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. Espanola vs Antofagasta

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cuadra A.
46'
Sub
Ratotti F. In: Rubio P.
Out: Ratotti F.
46'
Sub
Norambuena G. In: Molina L.
Out: Norambuena G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between U. Espanola and Antofagasta finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antofagasta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
U. Espanola
35%
Draws
46%
Antofagasta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Antofagasta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Antofagasta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Antofagasta's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 19%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Espanola Antofagasta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs Antofagasta
0:3
Mar 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs U. Espanola
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Liga de Primera
Antofagasta vs U. Espanola
2:0
Sep 27, 2022 Copa Chile
U. Espanola vs Antofagasta
4:1
Sep 23, 2022 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs U. Espanola
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Espanola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuadra A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bandez J. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Espanola 20 / 100
Antofagasta 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Espanola Antofagasta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Espanola scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Antofagasta has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

U. Espanola went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Espanola VS Antofagasta
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Espanola

(Home)
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1
U. Espanola
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1
Rangers
27 Aug
Colo Colo
3 : 0
U. Espanola
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Antofagasta

(Away)
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
3 San Luis 25 12 8 5 39:29 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
6 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
7 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
8 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
9 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 25 5 7 13 16:42 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)