Sport Picks
U. Espanola vs Recoleta
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile 
Match Events
45'
45'
Tomarelli F.
50'
50'
Wassenne M.
52'
52'
Riveros R.
AI Match Summary
U. Espanola in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Espanola.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recoleta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Recoleta have won more games recently than U. Espanola.
- Model gives Recoleta a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 17%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. Espanola | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs Recoleta
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs U. Espanola
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Copa Chile
U. Espanola vs Recoleta
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Copa Chile
Recoleta vs U. Espanola
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. Espanola Compare
Top Goalscorer Wassenne M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vilches Araneda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Riveros R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. Espanola 28 / 100
Recoleta 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. Espanola Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Recoleta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
U. Espanola found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Recoleta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
U. Espanola went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
U. Espanola VS Recoleta
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
U. Espanola
(Home) 08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1 U. Espanola
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1 Rangers
27 Aug
Colo Colo
3 : 0 U. Espanola
22 Aug
Cobreloa
0 : 1 U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1 Rangers
16 Aug
U. Espanola
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
07 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 3 Antofagasta
27 Jul
U. Espanola
2 : 1 Recoleta
05 Jul
U. Espanola
1 : 2 O Higgins
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3 O Higgins
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
18 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 1 Recoleta
08 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42:27 | 42 |
| 3 | San Luis | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15:37 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
