Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. Madeira vs Forjaes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 Centro Desportivo da Madeira, Ribeira Brava
U. Madeira Logo

U. Madeira

0 - 3
FT
Forjaes Logo

Forjaes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Forjaes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forjaes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
U. Madeira
20%
Draws
64%
Forjaes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forjaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forjaes lately — more wins on the board than U. Madeira.
  • U. Madeira are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 68%
Forjaes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Madeira Forjaes
Matches Played 9 26
Wins 0 5
Draws 1 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.33 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.78 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs U. Madeira
0:0
Oct 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Forjaes
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Madeira 68 / 100
Forjaes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Madeira Forjaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Madeira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forjaes let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Forjaes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

U. Madeira found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (9 games).

Scoring Trends

U. Madeira VS Forjaes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Madeira

(Home)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
Page 1 of 2

Forjaes

(Away)
08 May
Forjaes
0 : 3
SC Vianense
01 May
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Forjaes
24 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 4
Forjaes
10 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
Forjaes
03 Apr
Forjaes
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)