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U. Madeira vs Maria de Fonte

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 Centro Desportivo da Madeira
Sun, Jan 16, 2022
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. Madeira host Maria de Fonte in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Maria de Fonte have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while U. Madeira have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, U. Madeira have won 0 to Maria de Fonte's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 1.43) point toward Maria de Fonte. Maria de Fonte in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
U. Madeira
6%
Draws
4%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: U. Madeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Maria de Fonte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans U. Madeira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Maria de Fonte have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 17%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Madeira Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Maria de Fonte
0:0
Oct 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs U. Madeira
5:0
Mar 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs U. Madeira
4:1
Oct 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Maria de Fonte
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Madeira 84 / 100
Maria de Fonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Madeira Maria de Fonte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Maria de Fonte has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Maria de Fonte registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

U. Madeira found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (9 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Maria de Fonte
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC18133240:1842
2Maritimo B18115238:2038
3AD Limianos1894530:2231
4Maria de Fonte1883724:2127
5Pedras Salgadas1875622:2226
6Camacha1874725:2225
7SC Vianense18711023:2922
8Merelinense1854924:3019
9Forjaes18341127:4613
10Camara de Lobos18311420:4310
11U. Madeira00000:00