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U. Madeira vs Vilaverdense FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 Centro Desportivo da Madeira, Ribeira Brava
Sun, Mar 6, 2022
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. Madeira host Vilaverdense FC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022. Vilaverdense FC go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: U. Madeira at 0.33 goals for, 3.78 against; Vilaverdense FC at 1.03 for, 1.32 against. Past meetings favor U. Madeira slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 0.80, favoring Vilaverdense FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
U. Madeira
15%
Draws
64%
Vilaverdense FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vilaverdense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Vilaverdense FC have won more games recently than U. Madeira.
  • U. Madeira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 20%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Madeira Vilaverdense FC
Matches Played 9 34
Wins 0 7
Draws 1 9
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 0.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.78 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Vilaverdense FC
0:0
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs U. Madeira
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Madeira 85 / 100
Vilaverdense FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Madeira Vilaverdense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Madeira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilaverdense FC let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Vilaverdense FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

U. Madeira's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vilaverdense FC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Madeira

(Home)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
Page 1 of 2

Vilaverdense FC

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 2
Brito
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)