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U. San Martin vs Carlos Mannucci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Villa Deportiva USMP, Lima
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. San Martin host Carlos Mannucci in the Liga 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Carlos Mannucci have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while U. San Martin have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, U. San Martin have won 1 to Carlos Mannucci's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 7:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Carlos Mannucci. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
U. San Martin
30%
Draws
43%
Carlos Mannucci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlos Mannucci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carlos Mannucci lately — more wins on the board than U. San Martin.
  • Win probability leans Carlos Mannucci's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carlos Mannucci have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 17%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin Carlos Mannucci
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs U. San Martin
7:0
Jul 25, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Carlos Mannucci
2:0
Apr 5, 2026 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs U. San Martin
2:1
Aug 13, 2022 Liga 1
Carlos Mannucci vs U. San Martin
3:2
Mar 22, 2022 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Carlos Mannucci
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 10 / 100
Carlos Mannucci 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin Carlos Mannucci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Mannucci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: U. San Martin scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Carlos Mannucci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Solid form: U. San Martin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS Carlos Mannucci
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. San Martin

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

Carlos Mannucci

(Away)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams