Sport Picks
U. San Martin vs Cobresol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Primera Division 2012 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima 
Match Events
84'
84'
Campos E.
90'
90'
Gutierrez J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Division 2012 game between U. San Martin and Cobresol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. San Martin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. San Martin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and U. San Martin come out ahead of Cobresol on wins alone.
- Win probability leans U. San Martin's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Primera Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- U. San Martin have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 68%
Cobresol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. San Martin | Cobresol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs U. San Martin
1:2
Sep 30, 2012 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cobresol
1:0
Jul 18, 2012 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cobresol
2:0
Apr 21, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs U. San Martin
1:2
Jul 31, 2011 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cobresol
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. San Martin Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Cobresol Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. San Martin 77 / 100
Cobresol 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. San Martin Cobresol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick U. San Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cobresol let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
U. San Martin's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: U. San Martin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
U. San Martin VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
U. San Martin
(Home) 06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0 U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0 U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Cesar Vallejo
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
25 Jul
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 4
Cobresol
(Away) 25 Nov
Ayacucho
2 : 0 Cobresol
18 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2 U. San Martin
11 Nov
Cobresol
4 : 0 Sport Huancayo
06 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
4 : 0 Cobresol
01 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2 Cienciano
Page 1 of 6
25 Nov
Ayacucho
2 : 0 Cobresol
06 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
4 : 0 Cobresol
27 Oct
Sporting Cristal
6 : 0 Cobresol
30 Sept
U. San Martin
1 : 0 Cobresol
23 Sept
Sport Huancayo
1 : 1 Cobresol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 44 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 93:44 | 86 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 52:51 | 63 |
| 3 | Ayacucho | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 43:45 | 62 |
| 4 | U. San Martin | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 49:52 | 61 |
| 5 | Jose Galvez | 44 | 17 | 10 | 17 | 48:54 | 61 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 58:59 | 57 |
| 7 | Universitario de Deportes | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 52:58 | 57 |
| 8 | Cobresol | 44 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 33:82 | 22 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cusco | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 63:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Cesar Vallejo | 44 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 57:44 | 74 |
| 3 | Juan Aurich | 44 | 20 | 9 | 15 | 56:54 | 71 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 44 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 56:44 | 66 |
| 5 | Union Comercio | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 51:61 | 57 |
| 6 | Leon de Huanuco | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 54:47 | 54 |
| 7 | A. Lima | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 50:51 | 53 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 44 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 36:70 | 32 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2012 (Play Offs)
