Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. San Martin vs Llacuabamba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Rojas F.
27'
Ismodes D.
43'
Ampuero A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between U. San Martin and Llacuabamba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llacuabamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
U. San Martin
35%
Draws
30%
Llacuabamba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llacuabamba come out ahead of U. San Martin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Llacuabamba a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 20%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin Llacuabamba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Llacuabamba
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Llacuabamba
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin
4:1
Oct 6, 2023 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs U. San Martin
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 16 / 100
Llacuabamba 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin Llacuabamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. San Martin scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: U. San Martin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Llacuabamba conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS Llacuabamba
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. San Martin

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

Llacuabamba

(Away)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)